Monday, December 23, 2013

Who is Mel Watt? He is the one which is going to keep the rates low , thats who? Mel Watt the Incoming director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Congressman Mel Watt, the incoming director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said he plans to delay the increase in fees on government-backed loans that the agency announced this month.
The North Carolina Democrat was nominated by President Barack Obama in May and confirmed on December 10 by the Senate to head the agency that oversees Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Watt said in an email late on Friday he expected to be sworn into office on January 6. He replaces Edward DeMarco, a career civil servant who has led the FHFA in an acting capacity since 2009.
"Upon being sworn in ... I intend to announce that the FHFA will delay implementation" of the mortgage-fee increases "until such time as I have had the opportunity to evaluate fully the rationale for the plan and the plan's impact," Watt said.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two taxpayer-owned mortgage finance companies, are set to increase their guarantee fees in 2014. Such fees are typically passed along to borrowers, resulting in higher mortgage rates.
The FHFA signaled it would raise the fees in the days leading up to Watt's Senate confirmation vote. The move to reduce Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's footprint in the mortgage market by raising prices was part of DeMarco's plans to gradually shrink the companies' operations.
A spokesman for the FHFA was unavailable for comment outside of normal business hours.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy mortgages from lenders, which they either keep on their books or bundle into securities that they offer to investors with a guarantee. They do not make loans, but provide liquidity to the mortgage market by taking mortgages off the books of lenders, freeing them to make more loans.
The companies currently back more than half of all U.S. home mortgages and are sweeping their profits from the housing recovery to the U.S. Treasury. Taxpayers have propped up Fannie and Freddie to the tune of $187.5 billion in bailout funds since they were seized by the government in 2008, but they have paid $185.2 billion to the Treasury in dividends for that support.
 
 
This was a article forwarded from
Ty Laffoon

Thursday, December 19, 2013

Federal government favors high-income households over low-income ones in housing benefits

 
The Center for Budget Policy Priorities released a number of charts today that shows how much the federal government favors high-income households over low-income ones in housing benefits.
This largely results from the fact that homeowners receive significantly more aid than renters and high-income Americans are much more likely to be homeowners.
In 2012, the federal government gave out $240 billion in housing aid. Income data is not available for all of it, but of what is available, more than half went to those with incomes greater than $100,000 ($81.6 billion). Only $40 billion went to those with incomes less than $50,000.
Overall, high income households receive four times as much in housing aid as low-income ones.
The main reason for this is the majority of federal housing aid flows to homeowners, not renters. The mortgage interest deduction is the most well-known program that subsidizes homeownership. That deduction alone is larger than all federal rental aid combined.
The federal government gave out about $60 billion in housing benefits to renters in 2012. It gave out more than three times that much to homeowners. Low-income households receive the vast majority of that rental aid, but the opposite is true of aid to homeowners. That flows primarily to high-income households. 
This comes at a time when renters are struggling to keep pace with rising housing costs . Fifty percent of renters now spend more than 30% of their income on housing. This has forced renters to cut back on other household necessities or live in inadequate units.
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Renters are more likely to face a severe cost burden (defined as spending at least 50% of income on housing) than homeowners are. This is a result of rising median gross rent and falling media income over the past 15 years.
For both renters and homeowners, the percentage of households that have a severe affordability problem with their housing has increased since 2001.
These problems are only going to get worse as millions of seniors find themselves in need of rental housing in the coming decades. 
Yet, while this silent crisis continues, the majority of the money that the federal government spends on housing flows to homeowners, not renters.

Ty Laffoon

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Fed will cut bond purchases by $10B in January. Next the rates are going to go up and soon . 5% will be the new 4%

NEW YORK -- U.S. stocks soared even though the Federal Reserve announced that it would begin dialing back on its market-friendly bond-buying program in January, a decision that marks the start of a long-awaited shift back to more normalized monetary policy.
The Dow Jones industrial average surged more than 200 points after the Fed decision, as markets were soothed by the Fed's dovish comments overall, which suggests a still-easy Fed going forward.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index jumped 19 points to 1,800 and the Nasdaq composite index added 18 points to 4,042.
The Fed said it would reduce its current $85 billion in monthly purchases of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed bonds slowly, trimming its purchases by a total of $10 billion per month. They said they would trim purchases of Treasuries by $5 billion per month, and mortgage-backed bonds by $5 billion, too.
More important, the Fed said it would keep short-rates low "well after" the unemployment rate, now 7%, hit 6.5%, which was a change in guidance that points to longer policy accomodation from the Fed.

The Fed's move was dubbed "Taper Lite," by Thomas Tzitzouris, an analyst at Strategas Research Partners.
In a statement, in explaining its decision, the Fed said it "sees improvement in economic activity and labor market conditions" that are consistent with growing underlying strength in the broader economy." It also said it would continue to monitor incoming economic data and continue its asset purchases "until the outlook for the labor market has improved substantially."

The Fed also stressed that it would continue to reduce asset purchases in "measured steps" if the job market continues to heal and inflation starts to move closer to 2%. Tapering, the Fed stressed, is not on a "preset course."
In explaining the market's positive response to what was viewed as a market negative, Paul Hickey, co-founder of Bespoke Investment Group said: "The market has been cognizant of the fact that this was going to happen at some point in the near future, so now that it has happened it is one less thing to worry about. Additionally, the rest of the statement was dovish as they said that the current rate environment would remain in place even after the unemployment rate dropped below 6.5%."
In the prior session, the Dow declined 0.1% to 15,875.26. The Nasdaq composite edged lower 0.1% to 4,023. 68. The S&P 500 dipped 0.3% to 1,781.

European markets were higher as Germany's DAX index gained 1.1% to 9,181.75. France's CAC 40 jumped 1% to 4,109.51 and Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.1% to 6,492.08.
Asian stock markets were mostly higher. Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose 2% to 15,587.80. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index climbed 0.3% at 23,143.99. The major European benchmarks advanced.
In energy markets, benchmark crude for January delivery gained 23 cents to $97.44 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract dropped 26 cents, or 0.3% to $97.22 a barrel on Tuesday

The Federal Reserve will rise rates and it will happen soon

The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the economy on a full dose of stimulus after this week's meeting but begin dialing it down by next month,
That would mark the Fed's first significant step in winding down the extraordinary easy-money programs it has put in place since the 2008 financial crisis and Great Recession, and signify that the economy should soon be strong enough to stand on its own.
The drama over whether the Fed will announce the tapering after a two-day meeting that concludes Wednesday has intensified recently, following a flurry of better-than-expected economic developments.
Just a handful of the 34 economists surveyed Dec. 12-13 predict the Fed this week will agree to pare its $85 billion in monthly bond purchases, but a slight majority say the tapering will begin by January. The purchases have held down interest rates and buoyed stocks, and trimming them is expected to gradually push up borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.
Yet that may do little to slow an accelerating economy. Monthly job growth has averaged about 200,000 the past four months, despite the federal government shutdown, and the unemployment rate fell to 7% last month from 7.4% in July.
Meanwhile, the Commerce Department this month estimated that the economy grew at a solid 3.6% annual rate in the third quarter, and consumer spending in the current quarter has exceeded forecasts.
This week, the House of Representatives passed a two-year budget deal that now awaits Senate action. If passed, it would remove much of the uncertainty about federal tax and spending policy that has clouded the economy.
"How long do you want to wait" before reducing the purchases? asks Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist of Capital Economics. He says the labor market's cumulative gains since the bond-buying began in September 2012 and recent momentum meet the Fed's standard of "substantial" improvement.
Ashworth adds that the risks of the bond-buying, such as eventual high inflation, are rising as the Fed continues to pump money into the economy.
Stuart Hoffman, chief economist of PNC Financial Services, generally agrees but says policymakers will wait until January to assess holiday retail sales and fourth-quarter economic growth. Like other economists, he thinks the Fed this week will signal that tapering is imminent by upgrading its economic outlook in its post-meeting statement.
But Barclays Capital economist Michael Gapen says the Fed will stand pat until March in part because much of the decline in unemployment has been due to Americans leaving the labor force, including some discouraged with job prospects. Also, about half of last quarter's economic growth was from business stockpiling that's likely temporary. And, he says, inflation remains well below the Fed's 2% target — the hallmark of a sluggish economy.
"It's better but not strong enough," Gapen says, noting that the Fed has repeatedly said it's seeking evidence that the economy's improvement will be sustained before tapering. He also thinks the Fed is unlikely to jolt financial markets that are expecting it to stay the course.
Still, "it's a fairly close call," Gapen says. "If they (taper) in December, I wouldn't be totally surprised."
forwarded by  Ty Laffoon

Friday, December 13, 2013

New Fannie Rules say 43% Max DTI

 
As the housing market heats up again following the slowdown of the past few years, many consumers will try to buy a home for the first time or upgrade a home with a mortgage that had previously been underwater. If you fall into either camp, you should know that a new set of rules passed as part of the Dodd-Frank Act - enacted in response to the financial crisis of the late 2000s - will go into effect Jan. 10, 2014. The rules will require lenders of qualified mortgages to conduct more thorough analyses of mortgage applicants' financial information to ensure applicants can afford to repay the loan.
According to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, under the Ability-to-Repay rule, the lender generally must consider eight factors. These include your current income or assets, current employment status, credit history, the monthly payment for the mortgage (based on the highest interest rate if it's an adjustable rate mortgage, not an introductory teaser rate) and your monthly debt payments (including the mortgage) compared to your monthly pre-tax income, which is your debt-to-income ratio.
Under the new rules, you'll generally need a debt-to-income ratio of less than 43 percent to obtain a qualified mortgage that's underwritten based on standards considered safe for consumers. Federal rules state that the term of the loan cannot exceed 30 years, and the points and fees paid by the borrower cannot exceed 3 percent of the total loan amount (not including bona fide points or discount points used to pay down the rate of the loan). Under the new rules, qualified mortgages also cannot have risky features such as an interest-only period, when the borrower pays only interest without paying down the principal.
"This sets the bar higher for consumers and changes the game in terms of how people lend and how they qualify that consumer," says Cameron Findlay, chief economist at Discover Home Loans in Irvine, Calif. He estimates that roughly 10 to 15 percent of consumers will not be able to obtain a qualified mortgage and predicts that this will have the largest impact on moderate earners and minorities, especially in higher-cost real estate markets on the coasts. "You'll see some consumers in Midwest regions be in a better position where these rules won't be as impactful" because home prices aren't as expensive, he says. Consumers who do not get a qualified mortgage may pay upward of 100 basis points - 1 percent - on the loan, according to Findlay.
Other mortgage insiders predict a less dramatic impact on prospective homebuyers. "Industrywide, a lot of people [are] freaking out," says Michael Rosenbaum, a mortgage loan originator with First California Mortgage Company. "There's minor shaving of the debt-to-income ratio, but the vast majority of my borrowers are not qualifying at the upper limits. I'm just not finding that everybody wants to push their margins." He says many mortgage originators already look at the same criteria that the new rules require, and there's still some flexibility for underwriting in certain situations. For instance, a self-employed borrower may still be able to qualify with a debt-to-income ratio higher than 43 percent if his or her finances are strong in other areas.
While underwriting standards for conventional loans are tightening up due to new rules, David Reyes, chief investment officer at Reyes Financial Architecture, Inc. in San Diego and a former mortgage banker, says jumbo lenders (those who lend amounts larger than a conventional conforming mortgage) are actually easing up their underwriting requirements in some cases. "The actual jumbo interest rates are almost on par with conforming loans, and you're seeing one-year tax returns with some banks," he says. "Especially the community banks are being more aggressive with income qualifications for self-employed borrowers, which is something you haven't really seen since 2005 or 2006."
Should you hustle to close on a new home in the next month if you think you might not qualify under the new rules? That's not feasible for most people, so Rosenbaum says now might be a good time to instead call a trusted lender and find out where you stand. "People tend to think a lot of things about what their numbers are, but the formula of how we calculate the debt-to-income ratio is complex," he says. "Sometimes people are surprised that they qualify for more than they expected. Or sometimes the answer might be to wait a few more months until you've filed a new tax return if, say, you're self-employed."
Your FICO score is also a big component of the mortgage underwriting process, according to Findlay. The score impacts not only your ability to qualify for a mortgage, but also the interest rate you'll ultimately pay, so you may want to work on boosting your score by making timely payments or correcting any inaccurate information.
 
Ty Laffoon
619-630-0396