Thursday, April 25, 2013

Which fix rate hit a all-time low this week 4/25

The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 3.4% the week ended April 25, according to a Freddie Mac survey out Thursday. That's down from 3.41% the prior week and headed toward the record low of 3.31% hit in late November. The same week last year, 30-year fixed mortgage rates averaged 3.88%.
Even better, for those who qualify, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage hit a record low of 2.61% this week, down from 2.64% in the prior week. Freddie Mac began keeping nationwide average records in 1971.
"The housing market is getting a boost with mortgage rates hovering at or near record lows," said Frank Nothaft, a vice president and chief economist at Freddie Mac.
Nothaft cited:
• Existing home sales averaged an annualized pace of 4.9 million the first three months of the year, the most since the fourth quarter of 2009.
• New home sales topped 424,000 during the first quarter, the strongest showing since the third quarter of 2008.
• February marked the thirteenth consecutive month the Federal Housing Finance Agency has recorded an annual rise in its U.S. house price index, which rose by 7.1% in the twelve months through February, the most since May 2006.
MORE: Zillow says home values rising more slowly
However, despite the gains, Nothaft added, FIFA's home price index is still 13.6% below its peak set in April 2007.
In its weekly survey of mortgage lenders nationwide, Freddie Mac said a key adjustable rate mortgages also hit a record low this week. The average rate on the 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage fell to an all-time low of 2.58% from 2.6% a week earlier. That type of mortgage has been available nationwide since 2005.
And the 1-year Treasury-indexed ARM ticked down to 2.62% in the latest week from 2.63% a week earlier, Freddie Mac said.

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Is Wall Street setting up another housing crash?

  • "If I had a way of buying a couple-hundred-thousand single-family homes, I would load up on them," famed investor Warren Buffett said on CNBC last year. "It’s a very attractive asset class now. I could buy them at distressed prices and find renters."

    Well, the market is apparently acting on the Oracle of Omaha's words.

    The Washington Post reports that Wall Street investors and others are currently putting "unprecedented amounts of money" into real estate. And while that cascade of funds is apparently helping to revive the real estate sector, especially in states like Florida that were hardest hit from the recession, some analysts are concerned about deja vu -- the possibility of another unsustainable, speculation-fueled housing bubble.

    "I don’t know whether things are as good as they seem to be," Scott Kranz, co-principal with Title Capital Management in Florida, told the newspaper.

    "The end-user would need to see a great increase in jobs, availability of mortgage money and a loosening of the reins that have been holding them back," he noted. "But all the economic indicators ... are not at that point."

    And while the Street, the well-to-do and some financial institutions are likely to benefit from this uptick, it will also push hopes of home ownership that much further away from financially struggling U.S. families.

    "The investors are making it hard for a regular homeowner to buy a property," Robert Russotto, a broker with Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., said in an interview with the Post. "They are getting outbid by people with cash."

    Global investment management firm PIMCO is forecasting an 8% to 12% appreciation in housing over the next two years, as the economic recovery gathers momentum.

    Meanwhile, low interest rates and depressed housing prices are creating a perfect storm of enthusiasm from investors. "Residential property is an on-fire asset class," said Kranz to the Washington Post. He also noted that his firm has put more than $100 million into residential real estate for investors in the past 12 months.

    But all this movement is frightening some analysts. "At some point the music stops," Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research told the Post. "The investors, if they get hurt, that is their problem. But invariably a lot of other people will get caught up in that."

    Ty Laffoon